Target Price Playground
HUBS
$192.26
๐ข
HUBS IV: 63.9% โ LOW
(-22.8% vs 30d avg of 82.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $170 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $190 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $24.9 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $175 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $17.4 ยท ฮ -0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If HUBS hits $170 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$750 (100.0%) on $750 risked, vs $-2,226 (-11.6%) for 100 shares on $19,226. Options give 8.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if HUBS is at $170. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if HUBS hits $170 by Jun 19
+$750
+100.0% on $750 risked
Max Profit
+$750
If the stock โค $175 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$750
Net debit
Break-even
$182.50
-5.08% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-9.13 / -1.52 / 1.43
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| HUBS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $154 (-20%) | +$374 | +$423 | +$522 | +$750 |
| $163 (-15%) | +$273 | +$306 | +$381 | +$750 |
| $170 (-12%) โ target | +$201 | +$220 | +$269 | +$750 |
| $173 (-10%) | +$168 | +$180 | +$214 | +$750 |
| $183 (-5%) | +$63 | +$52 | +$36 | -$15 |
| $188 (-2%) | +$2 | -$23 | -$69 | -$591 |
| $192 (0%) โ spot | -$38 | -$72 | -$136 | -$750 |
| $196 (+2%) | -$77 | -$119 | -$200 | -$750 |
| $202 (+5%) | -$134 | -$187 | -$290 | -$750 |
| $211 (+10%) | -$222 | -$291 | -$418 | -$750 |
| $221 (+15%) | -$302 | -$381 | -$519 | -$750 |
| $231 (+20%) | -$372 | -$458 | -$594 | -$750 |
Uses HUBS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.