Target Price Playground
HUBS
$192.26
๐ข
HUBS IV: 63.9% โ LOW
(-22.8% vs 30d avg of 82.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $215 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $190 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $27.25 ยท ฮ 0.57
SHORT CALL ยท $210 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $18.6 ยท ฮ 0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If HUBS hits $215 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$1,135 (131.2%) on $865 risked, vs +$2,274 (11.8%) for 100 shares on $19,226. Options give 11.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if HUBS is at $215. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if HUBS hits $215 by Jun 19
+$1,135
+131.2% on $865 risked
Max Profit
+$1,135
If the stock โฅ $210 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$865
Net debit
Break-even
$198.65
+3.32% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
69%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
11.87 / -0.69 / -1.87
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| HUBS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $154 (-20%) | -$548 | -$622 | -$744 | -$865 |
| $163 (-15%) | -$441 | -$508 | -$638 | -$865 |
| $173 (-10%) | -$323 | -$375 | -$490 | -$865 |
| $183 (-5%) | -$198 | -$227 | -$305 | -$865 |
| $188 (-2%) | -$121 | -$135 | -$181 | -$865 |
| $192 (0%) โ spot | -$70 | -$73 | -$96 | -$639 |
| $196 (+2%) | -$19 | -$10 | -$9 | -$254 |
| $202 (+5%) | +$57 | +$82 | +$120 | +$322 |
| $211 (+10%) | +$179 | +$232 | +$327 | +$1,135 |
| $215 (+12%) โ target | +$223 | +$284 | +$398 | +$1,135 |
| $221 (+15%) | +$295 | +$372 | +$513 | +$1,135 |
| $231 (+20%) | +$403 | +$498 | +$670 | +$1,135 |
Uses HUBS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.