Target Price Playground
HUBS
$192.26
๐ข
HUBS IV: 63.9% โ LOW
(-22.8% vs 30d avg of 82.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $210 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $192.26 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $210 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $18.6 ยท ฮ 0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If HUBS hits $210 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$3,634 (20.9%) on $17,366 risked, vs +$1,774 (9.2%) for 100 shares on $19,226. Options give 2.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if HUBS is at $210. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if HUBS hits $210 by Jun 19
+$3,634
+20.9% on $17,366 risked
Max Profit
+$3,634
If the stock โฅ $210 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$17,366
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$173.66
-9.67% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
76%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
54.68 / 19.49 / -33.91
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| HUBS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $154 (-20%) | -$2,414 | -$2,206 | -$2,034 | -$1,985 |
| $163 (-15%) | -$1,667 | -$1,397 | -$1,138 | -$1,024 |
| $173 (-10%) | -$981 | -$651 | -$295 | -$63 |
| $183 (-5%) | -$357 | +$26 | +$475 | +$899 |
| $188 (-2%) | -$15 | +$395 | +$894 | +$1,475 |
| $192 (0%) โ spot | +$201 | +$627 | +$1,155 | +$1,860 |
| $196 (+2%) | +$406 | +$846 | +$1,399 | +$2,245 |
| $202 (+5%) | +$695 | +$1,151 | +$1,734 | +$2,821 |
| $210 (+9%) โ target | +$1,066 | +$1,537 | +$2,143 | +$3,634 |
| $221 (+15%) | +$1,505 | +$1,982 | +$2,588 | +$3,634 |
| $231 (+20%) | +$1,829 | +$2,298 | +$2,878 | +$3,634 |
Uses HUBS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.