Target Price Playground
HUBS
$192.26
๐ข
HUBS IV: 63.9% โ LOW
(-22.8% vs 30d avg of 82.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $185 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $190 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $24.62 ยท ฮ -0.4
SHORT PUT ยท $185 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $21.9 ยท ฮ -0.4
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If HUBS hits $185 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$1,394 (511.6%) on $272 risked, vs $-726 (-3.8%) for 100 shares on $19,226. Options give 134.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if HUBS is at $185. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if HUBS hits $185 by Jun 19
+$1,394
+511.6% on $272 risked
Max Profit
+$1,391
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$132
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$234.60
+22.02% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
90%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-0.24 / 5.05 / 6.38
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| HUBS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $154 (-20%) | +$381 | +$425 | +$477 | +$398 |
| $163 (-15%) | +$396 | +$456 | +$550 | +$597 |
| $173 (-10%) | +$399 | +$470 | +$595 | +$888 |
| $183 (-5%) | +$392 | +$466 | +$603 | +$1,282 |
| $185 (-4%) โ target | +$388 | +$462 | +$599 | +$1,394 |
| $188 (-2%) | +$382 | +$455 | +$590 | +$1,227 |
| $192 (0%) โ spot | +$374 | +$444 | +$574 | +$1,053 |
| $196 (+2%) | +$364 | +$431 | +$554 | +$895 |
| $202 (+5%) | +$347 | +$408 | +$514 | +$687 |
| $211 (+10%) | +$313 | +$360 | +$432 | +$406 |
| $221 (+15%) | +$274 | +$305 | +$338 | +$198 |
| $231 (+20%) | +$231 | +$246 | +$242 | +$48 |
Uses HUBS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.