Target Price Playground
HUBS
$192.26
๐ข
HUBS IV: 63.9% โ LOW
(-22.8% vs 30d avg of 82.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $215 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $190 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $27.25 ยท ฮ 0.57
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If HUBS hits $215 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-225 (-8.3%) on $2,725 risked, vs +$2,274 (11.8%) for 100 shares on $19,226. Options give 0.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if HUBS is at $215. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if HUBS hits $215 by Jun 19
$-225
-8.3% on $2,725 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$2,725
Premium paid
Break-even
$217.25
+13.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
69%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.19 / -20.18 / 32.04
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| HUBS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $154 (-20%) | -$1,979 | -$2,261 | -$2,555 | -$2,725 |
| $163 (-15%) | -$1,658 | -$1,995 | -$2,385 | -$2,725 |
| $173 (-10%) | -$1,265 | -$1,647 | -$2,118 | -$2,725 |
| $183 (-5%) | -$801 | -$1,214 | -$1,741 | -$2,725 |
| $188 (-2%) | -$491 | -$915 | -$1,460 | -$2,725 |
| $192 (0%) โ spot | -$271 | -$699 | -$1,251 | -$2,499 |
| $196 (+2%) | -$40 | -$471 | -$1,023 | -$2,114 |
| $202 (+5%) | +$323 | -$108 | -$653 | -$1,538 |
| $211 (+10%) | +$974 | +$553 | +$40 | -$576 |
| $215 (+12%) โ target | +$1,224 | +$810 | +$313 | -$225 |
| $221 (+15%) | +$1,674 | +$1,274 | +$809 | +$385 |
| $231 (+20%) | +$2,419 | +$2,045 | +$1,637 | +$1,346 |
Uses HUBS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.