Target Price Playground
HUBS
$192.26
๐ข
HUBS IV: 63.9% โ LOW
(-22.8% vs 30d avg of 82.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $210 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $192.26 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $185 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $21.9 ยท ฮ -0.4
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If HUBS hits $210 by Jun 19: the protective put returns $-416 (-1.9%) on $21,416 risked, vs +$1,774 (9.2%) for 100 shares on $19,226. Options give 0.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if HUBS is at $210. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if HUBS hits $210 by Jun 19
$-416
-1.9% on $21,416 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$2,916
Put floors you at $185
Break-even
$214.16
+11.39% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
76%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
59.87 / -17.71 / 31.6
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| HUBS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $154 (-20%) | -$2,215 | -$2,464 | -$2,741 | -$2,916 |
| $163 (-15%) | -$1,862 | -$2,162 | -$2,530 | -$2,916 |
| $173 (-10%) | -$1,436 | -$1,774 | -$2,213 | -$2,916 |
| $183 (-5%) | -$938 | -$1,299 | -$1,779 | -$2,916 |
| $188 (-2%) | -$607 | -$976 | -$1,463 | -$2,575 |
| $192 (0%) โ spot | -$373 | -$744 | -$1,230 | -$2,190 |
| $196 (+2%) | -$130 | -$499 | -$981 | -$1,805 |
| $202 (+5%) | +$252 | -$113 | -$578 | -$1,229 |
| $210 (+9%) โ target | +$825 | +$472 | +$42 | -$416 |
| $221 (+15%) | +$1,662 | +$1,337 | +$968 | +$694 |
| $231 (+20%) | +$2,431 | +$2,136 | +$1,826 | +$1,655 |
Uses HUBS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.