Target Price Playground
HUBS
$192.26
๐ข
HUBS IV: 63.9% โ LOW
(-22.8% vs 30d avg of 82.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $220 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $190 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $27.25 ยท ฮ 0.57
LONG PUT ยท $190 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $24.9 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If HUBS hits $220 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-2,215 (-42.5%) on $5,215 risked, vs +$2,774 (14.4%) for 100 shares on $19,226. Options give 3.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if HUBS is at $220. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if HUBS hits $220 by Jun 19
$-2,215
-42.5% on $5,215 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$5,215
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$242.15
+25.95% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
63%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
14.07 / -38.5 / 64.11
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| HUBS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $154 (-20%) | -$260 | -$773 | -$1,310 | -$1,596 |
| $163 (-15%) | -$579 | -$1,202 | -$1,930 | -$2,557 |
| $173 (-10%) | -$754 | -$1,467 | -$2,358 | -$3,518 |
| $183 (-5%) | -$789 | -$1,563 | -$2,566 | -$4,480 |
| $188 (-2%) | -$744 | -$1,541 | -$2,581 | -$5,056 |
| $192 (0%) โ spot | -$688 | -$1,495 | -$2,546 | -$4,989 |
| $196 (+2%) | -$612 | -$1,424 | -$2,476 | -$4,604 |
| $202 (+5%) | -$463 | -$1,273 | -$2,311 | -$4,028 |
| $211 (+10%) | -$123 | -$913 | -$1,888 | -$3,066 |
| $220 (+14%) โ target | +$262 | -$493 | -$1,384 | -$2,215 |
| $231 (+20%) | +$846 | +$149 | -$615 | -$1,144 |
Uses HUBS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.