Target Price Playground
HUT
$66.08
๐ข
HUT IV: 89.1% โ LOW
(-31.8% vs 30d avg of 130.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $58 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $66 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.19 ยท ฮ -0.41
SHORT PUT ยท $61 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.55 ยท ฮ -0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If HUT hits $58 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$236 (89.4%) on $264 risked, vs $-809 (-12.2%) for 100 shares on $6,609. Options give 7.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if HUT is at $58. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if HUT hits $58 by Jun 19
+$236
+89.4% on $264 risked
Max Profit
+$236
If the stock โค $61 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$264
Net debit
Break-even
$63.36
-4.12% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
76%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-7.39 / -0.38 / 0.67
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| HUT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $53 (-20%) | +$102 | +$113 | +$140 | +$236 |
| $56 (-15%) | +$76 | +$83 | +$101 | +$236 |
| $58 (-12%) โ target | +$62 | +$66 | +$78 | +$236 |
| $59 (-10%) | +$50 | +$52 | +$59 | +$236 |
| $63 (-5%) | +$25 | +$20 | +$16 | +$58 |
| $65 (-2%) | +$10 | +$2 | -$10 | -$140 |
| $66 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$10 | -$27 | -$264 |
| $67 (+2%) | -$10 | -$22 | -$44 | -$264 |
| $69 (+5%) | -$24 | -$39 | -$68 | -$264 |
| $73 (+10%) | -$47 | -$67 | -$104 | -$264 |
| $76 (+15%) | -$68 | -$92 | -$136 | -$264 |
| $79 (+20%) | -$88 | -$115 | -$163 | -$264 |
Uses HUT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.