Target Price Playground
HUT
$66.08
๐ข
HUT IV: 89.1% โ LOW
(-31.8% vs 30d avg of 130.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $74 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $66 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.82 ยท ฮ 0.59
SHORT CALL ยท $71 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.86 ยท ฮ 0.52
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If HUT hits $74 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$305 (156.0%) on $195 risked, vs +$792 (12.0%) for 100 shares on $6,609. Options give 13.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if HUT is at $74. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if HUT hits $74 by Jun 19
+$305
+156.0% on $195 risked
Max Profit
+$305
If the stock โฅ $71 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$195
Net debit
Break-even
$67.95
+2.83% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
77%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
7.16 / 0.16 / -0.27
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| HUT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $53 (-20%) | -$94 | -$108 | -$138 | -$196 |
| $56 (-15%) | -$72 | -$83 | -$110 | -$196 |
| $59 (-10%) | -$48 | -$55 | -$76 | -$196 |
| $63 (-5%) | -$24 | -$27 | -$37 | -$196 |
| $65 (-2%) | -$10 | -$9 | -$13 | -$196 |
| $66 (0%) โ spot | -$1 | +$2 | +$3 | -$188 |
| $67 (+2%) | +$9 | +$14 | +$19 | -$56 |
| $69 (+5%) | +$23 | +$31 | +$43 | +$142 |
| $73 (+10%) | +$45 | +$59 | +$82 | +$304 |
| $74 (+12%) โ target | +$54 | +$70 | +$97 | +$304 |
| $76 (+15%) | +$67 | +$85 | +$118 | +$304 |
| $79 (+20%) | +$88 | +$110 | +$151 | +$304 |
Uses HUT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.