Target Price Playground
๐ Strategy
๐ฏ Target
โ๏ธ Legs
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If HUT hits $69 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$755 (14.1%) on $-755 credit (max loss $5,345), vs +$292 (4.4%) for 100 shares on $6,609. Options give 3.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if HUT is at $69. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| HUT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $53 (-20%) | -$581 | -$443 | -$269 | -$59 |
| $56 (-15%) | -$408 | -$256 | -$58 | +$272 |
| $59 (-10%) | -$255 | -$94 | +$119 | +$602 |
| $63 (-5%) | -$119 | +$47 | +$267 | +$755 |
| $65 (-2%) | -$46 | +$122 | +$341 | +$755 |
| $66 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$167 | +$385 | +$755 |
| $67 (+2%) | +$43 | +$210 | +$426 | +$755 |
| $69 (+4%) โ target | +$93 | +$259 | +$469 | +$755 |
| $73 (+10%) | +$195 | +$356 | +$552 | +$755 |
| $76 (+15%) | +$273 | +$427 | +$607 | +$755 |
| $79 (+20%) | +$341 | +$487 | +$648 | +$755 |