Target Price Playground
HUT
$66.08
๐ข
HUT IV: 89.1% โ LOW
(-31.8% vs 30d avg of 130.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $71 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $66.08 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $71 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.86 ยท ฮ 0.52
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If HUT hits $71 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$1,378 (24.1%) on $5,722 risked, vs +$492 (7.4%) for 100 shares on $6,609. Options give 3.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if HUT is at $71. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if HUT hits $71 by Jun 19
+$1,378
+24.1% on $5,722 risked
Max Profit
+$1,378
If the stock โฅ $71 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$5,722
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$57.22
-13.41% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
85%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
48.25 / 8.23 / -11.28
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| HUT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $53 (-20%) | -$776 | -$646 | -$511 | -$436 |
| $56 (-15%) | -$555 | -$403 | -$233 | -$105 |
| $59 (-10%) | -$353 | -$182 | +$21 | +$225 |
| $63 (-5%) | -$168 | +$19 | +$250 | +$556 |
| $65 (-2%) | -$65 | +$129 | +$374 | +$754 |
| $66 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$198 | +$452 | +$886 |
| $67 (+2%) | +$62 | +$265 | +$525 | +$1,018 |
| $69 (+5%) | +$151 | +$358 | +$626 | +$1,216 |
| $71 (+7%) โ target | +$220 | +$430 | +$702 | +$1,378 |
| $73 (+10%) | +$287 | +$500 | +$774 | +$1,378 |
| $76 (+15%) | +$409 | +$623 | +$897 | +$1,378 |
| $79 (+20%) | +$518 | +$731 | +$998 | +$1,378 |
Uses HUT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.