Target Price Playground
HUT
$66.08
๐ข
HUT IV: 89.1% โ LOW
(-31.8% vs 30d avg of 130.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $63 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $66 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $12.03 ยท ฮ -0.39
SHORT PUT ยท $63 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.56 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If HUT hits $63 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$468 (135.1%) on $347 risked, vs $-309 (-4.7%) for 100 shares on $6,609. Options give 28.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if HUT is at $63. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if HUT hits $63 by Jun 19
+$468
+135.1% on $347 risked
Max Profit
+$463
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$192
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$75.44
+14.16% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
91%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-2.8 / 1.12 / 2.32
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| HUT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $53 (-20%) | +$16 | +$43 | +$85 | +$102 |
| $56 (-15%) | +$16 | +$47 | +$100 | +$194 |
| $59 (-10%) | +$13 | +$46 | +$107 | +$312 |
| $63 (-5%) โ target | +$7 | +$40 | +$103 | +$468 |
| $65 (-2%) | +$3 | +$36 | +$97 | +$381 |
| $66 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$31 | +$91 | +$321 |
| $67 (+2%) | -$4 | +$26 | +$83 | +$265 |
| $69 (+5%) | -$11 | +$18 | +$70 | +$187 |
| $73 (+10%) | -$23 | +$2 | +$43 | +$76 |
| $76 (+15%) | -$36 | -$17 | +$12 | -$14 |
| $79 (+20%) | -$51 | -$37 | -$22 | -$88 |
Uses HUT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.