Target Price Playground
HUT
$66.08
๐ข
HUT IV: 89.1% โ LOW
(-31.8% vs 30d avg of 130.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $74 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $66 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.82 ยท ฮ 0.59
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If HUT hits $74 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-282 (-26.0%) on $1,082 risked, vs +$792 (12.0%) for 100 shares on $6,609. Options give 2.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if HUT is at $74. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if HUT hits $74 by Jun 19
$-282
-26.0% on $1,082 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,082
Premium paid
Break-even
$76.82
+16.24% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
77%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
58.91 / -8.08 / 11.01
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| HUT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $53 (-20%) | -$640 | -$785 | -$950 | -$1,082 |
| $56 (-15%) | -$507 | -$670 | -$868 | -$1,082 |
| $59 (-10%) | -$356 | -$534 | -$757 | -$1,082 |
| $63 (-5%) | -$187 | -$375 | -$618 | -$1,082 |
| $65 (-2%) | -$77 | -$270 | -$520 | -$1,082 |
| $66 (0%) โ spot | -$1 | -$196 | -$449 | -$1,074 |
| $67 (+2%) | +$78 | -$119 | -$374 | -$942 |
| $69 (+5%) | +$202 | +$3 | -$253 | -$744 |
| $73 (+10%) | +$419 | +$220 | -$31 | -$413 |
| $74 (+12%) โ target | +$509 | +$311 | +$63 | -$282 |
| $76 (+15%) | +$649 | +$453 | +$212 | -$83 |
| $79 (+20%) | +$892 | +$701 | +$475 | +$248 |
Uses HUT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.