Target Price Playground
HUT
$66.08
๐ข
HUT IV: 89.1% โ LOW
(-31.8% vs 30d avg of 130.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $58 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $66 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.19 ยท ฮ -0.41
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If HUT hits $58 by Jun 19: the long put returns $-219 (-21.5%) on $1,019 risked, vs $-809 (-12.2%) for 100 shares on $6,609. Options give 1.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if HUT is at $58. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if HUT hits $58 by Jun 19
$-219
-21.5% on $1,019 risked
Max Profit
+$5,581
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$1,019
Premium paid
Break-even
$55.81
-15.55% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
76%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-41.09 / -7.27 / 11.01
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| HUT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $53 (-20%) | +$683 | +$556 | +$408 | +$295 |
| $56 (-15%) | +$484 | +$339 | +$160 | -$36 |
| $58 (-12%) โ target | +$383 | +$229 | +$34 | -$219 |
| $59 (-10%) | +$305 | +$145 | -$60 | -$366 |
| $63 (-5%) | +$144 | -$27 | -$251 | -$697 |
| $65 (-2%) | +$56 | -$120 | -$351 | -$895 |
| $66 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$177 | -$413 | -$1,019 |
| $67 (+2%) | -$53 | -$232 | -$469 | -$1,019 |
| $69 (+5%) | -$128 | -$309 | -$546 | -$1,019 |
| $73 (+10%) | -$241 | -$422 | -$656 | -$1,019 |
| $76 (+15%) | -$341 | -$519 | -$743 | -$1,019 |
| $79 (+20%) | -$429 | -$602 | -$811 | -$1,019 |
Uses HUT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.