Target Price Playground
HUT
$66.08
๐ข
HUT IV: 89.1% โ LOW
(-31.8% vs 30d avg of 130.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $73 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $66.08 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $63 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.56 ยท ฮ -0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If HUT hits $73 by Jun 19: the protective put returns $-164 (-2.2%) on $7,464 risked, vs +$692 (10.5%) for 100 shares on $6,609. Options give 0.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if HUT is at $73. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if HUT hits $73 by Jun 19
$-164
-2.2% on $7,464 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$1,164
Put floors you at $63
Break-even
$74.64
+12.95% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
80%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
63.33 / -7.08 / 10.66
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| HUT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $53 (-20%) | -$699 | -$834 | -$998 | -$1,164 |
| $56 (-15%) | -$552 | -$702 | -$894 | -$1,164 |
| $59 (-10%) | -$386 | -$547 | -$760 | -$1,164 |
| $63 (-5%) | -$201 | -$370 | -$594 | -$1,164 |
| $65 (-2%) | -$82 | -$254 | -$481 | -$988 |
| $66 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$173 | -$400 | -$856 |
| $67 (+2%) | +$85 | -$88 | -$314 | -$724 |
| $69 (+5%) | +$217 | +$44 | -$179 | -$526 |
| $73 (+10%) โ target | +$470 | +$301 | +$89 | -$164 |
| $76 (+15%) | +$691 | +$526 | +$328 | +$135 |
| $79 (+20%) | +$946 | +$788 | +$608 | +$466 |
Uses HUT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.