Target Price Playground
HUT
$66.08
๐ข
HUT IV: 89.1% โ LOW
(-31.8% vs 30d avg of 130.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $76 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $66 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.82 ยท ฮ 0.59
LONG PUT ยท $66 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.19 ยท ฮ -0.41
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If HUT hits $76 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-1,101 (-52.4%) on $2,101 risked, vs +$992 (15.0%) for 100 shares on $6,609. Options give 3.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if HUT is at $76. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if HUT hits $76 by Jun 19
$-1,101
-52.4% on $2,101 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$2,101
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$87.01
+31.66% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
71%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
17.81 / -15.34 / 22.03
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| HUT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $53 (-20%) | +$43 | -$229 | -$541 | -$787 |
| $56 (-15%) | -$23 | -$331 | -$708 | -$1,118 |
| $59 (-10%) | -$51 | -$389 | -$818 | -$1,448 |
| $63 (-5%) | -$43 | -$402 | -$869 | -$1,779 |
| $65 (-2%) | -$21 | -$390 | -$871 | -$1,977 |
| $66 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$373 | -$862 | -$2,093 |
| $67 (+2%) | +$26 | -$351 | -$843 | -$1,961 |
| $69 (+5%) | +$74 | -$306 | -$799 | -$1,763 |
| $73 (+10%) | +$178 | -$202 | -$687 | -$1,432 |
| $76 (+15%) โ target | +$308 | -$66 | -$530 | -$1,101 |
| $79 (+20%) | +$463 | +$99 | -$336 | -$771 |
Uses HUT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.