Target Price Playground
IDCC
$352.27
๐ก
IDCC IV: 54.6% โ NORMAL
(-10.2% vs 30d avg of 60.8%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $310 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $350 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $62.65 ยท ฮ -0.41
SHORT PUT ยท $325 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $16.4 ยท ฮ -0.3
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If IDCC hits $310 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns $-2,125 (-45.9%) on $4,625 risked, vs $-4,227 (-12.0%) for 100 shares on $35,227. Options give 3.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if IDCC is at $310. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if IDCC hits $310 by Jun 19
$-2,125
-45.9% on $4,625 risked
Max Profit
+$-2,125
If the stock โค $325 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$4,625
Net debit
Break-even
$
None% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
58%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-10.55 / 6.4 / 46.81
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| IDCC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $282 (-20%) | -$2,602 | -$2,494 | -$2,317 | -$2,125 |
| $299 (-15%) | -$2,809 | -$2,719 | -$2,544 | -$2,125 |
| $310 (-12%) โ target | -$2,945 | -$2,877 | -$2,734 | -$2,125 |
| $317 (-10%) | -$3,040 | -$2,989 | -$2,878 | -$2,125 |
| $335 (-5%) | -$3,280 | -$3,280 | -$3,275 | -$3,091 |
| $345 (-2%) | -$3,421 | -$3,453 | -$3,515 | -$4,147 |
| $352 (0%) โ spot | -$3,513 | -$3,565 | -$3,669 | -$4,625 |
| $359 (+2%) | -$3,602 | -$3,672 | -$3,812 | -$4,625 |
| $370 (+5%) | -$3,729 | -$3,822 | -$4,003 | -$4,625 |
| $388 (+10%) | -$3,920 | -$4,040 | -$4,253 | -$4,625 |
| $405 (+15%) | -$4,081 | -$4,213 | -$4,419 | -$4,625 |
| $423 (+20%) | -$4,214 | -$4,344 | -$4,518 | -$4,625 |
Uses IDCC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.