Target Price Playground
IDCC
$352.27
๐ก
IDCC IV: 54.6% โ NORMAL
(-10.2% vs 30d avg of 60.8%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $395 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $350 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $65.8 ยท ฮ 0.6
SHORT CALL ยท $380 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $42.4 ยท ฮ 0.51
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If IDCC hits $395 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$660 (28.2%) on $2,340 risked, vs +$4,273 (12.1%) for 100 shares on $35,227. Options give 2.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if IDCC is at $395. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if IDCC hits $395 by Jun 19
+$660
+28.2% on $2,340 risked
Max Profit
+$660
If the stock โฅ $380 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$2,340
Net debit
Break-even
$373.40
+6.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
57%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
8.69 / -0.21 / -5.34
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| IDCC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $282 (-20%) | -$2,031 | -$2,143 | -$2,280 | -$2,340 |
| $299 (-15%) | -$1,854 | -$1,976 | -$2,169 | -$2,340 |
| $317 (-10%) | -$1,636 | -$1,746 | -$1,956 | -$2,340 |
| $335 (-5%) | -$1,388 | -$1,463 | -$1,628 | -$2,340 |
| $345 (-2%) | -$1,231 | -$1,276 | -$1,386 | -$2,340 |
| $352 (0%) โ spot | -$1,125 | -$1,147 | -$1,213 | -$2,113 |
| $359 (+2%) | -$1,018 | -$1,018 | -$1,034 | -$1,408 |
| $370 (+5%) | -$860 | -$825 | -$766 | -$352 |
| $388 (+10%) | -$607 | -$519 | -$349 | +$660 |
| $395 (+12%) โ target | -$506 | -$398 | -$192 | +$660 |
| $405 (+15%) | -$376 | -$246 | -$6 | +$660 |
| $423 (+20%) | -$172 | -$16 | +$248 | +$660 |
Uses IDCC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.