Target Price Playground
IDCC
$352.27
๐ก
IDCC IV: 54.6% โ NORMAL
(-10.2% vs 30d avg of 60.8%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $380 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $352.27 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $380 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $42.4 ยท ฮ 0.51
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If IDCC hits $380 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$7,013 (22.6%) on $30,987 risked, vs +$2,773 (7.9%) for 100 shares on $35,227. Options give 2.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if IDCC is at $380. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if IDCC hits $380 by Jun 19
+$7,013
+22.6% on $30,987 risked
Max Profit
+$7,013
If the stock โฅ $380 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$30,987
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$309.87
-12.04% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
72%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
49.02 / 14.4 / -104.52
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| IDCC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $282 (-20%) | -$3,092 | -$2,921 | -$2,818 | -$2,805 |
| $299 (-15%) | -$1,572 | -$1,304 | -$1,096 | -$1,044 |
| $317 (-10%) | -$173 | +$203 | +$561 | +$717 |
| $335 (-5%) | +$1,086 | +$1,564 | +$2,093 | +$2,479 |
| $345 (-2%) | +$1,766 | +$2,298 | +$2,923 | +$3,535 |
| $352 (0%) โ spot | +$2,189 | +$2,751 | +$3,433 | +$4,240 |
| $359 (+2%) | +$2,586 | +$3,174 | +$3,904 | +$4,945 |
| $370 (+5%) | +$3,133 | +$3,750 | +$4,533 | +$6,001 |
| $380 (+8%) โ target | +$3,605 | +$4,239 | +$5,048 | +$7,013 |
| $388 (+10%) | +$3,924 | +$4,562 | +$5,374 | +$7,013 |
| $405 (+15%) | +$4,570 | +$5,197 | +$5,971 | +$7,013 |
| $423 (+20%) | +$5,088 | +$5,679 | +$6,366 | +$7,013 |
Uses IDCC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.