Target Price Playground
IDCC
$352.27
๐ก
IDCC IV: 54.6% โ NORMAL
(-10.2% vs 30d avg of 60.8%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $395 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $350 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $65.8 ยท ฮ 0.6
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If IDCC hits $395 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-2,080 (-31.6%) on $6,580 risked, vs +$4,273 (12.1%) for 100 shares on $35,227. Options give 2.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if IDCC is at $395. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if IDCC hits $395 by Jun 19
$-2,080
-31.6% on $6,580 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$6,580
Premium paid
Break-even
$415.80
+18.03% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
57%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
59.67 / -14.61 / 99.18
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| IDCC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $282 (-20%) | -$5,984 | -$6,267 | -$6,506 | -$6,580 |
| $299 (-15%) | -$5,565 | -$5,956 | -$6,357 | -$6,580 |
| $317 (-10%) | -$4,986 | -$5,472 | -$6,039 | -$6,580 |
| $335 (-5%) | -$4,235 | -$4,788 | -$5,482 | -$6,580 |
| $345 (-2%) | -$3,702 | -$4,279 | -$5,015 | -$6,580 |
| $352 (0%) โ spot | -$3,313 | -$3,899 | -$4,646 | -$6,353 |
| $359 (+2%) | -$2,899 | -$3,487 | -$4,234 | -$5,648 |
| $370 (+5%) | -$2,232 | -$2,814 | -$3,538 | -$4,592 |
| $388 (+10%) | -$1,008 | -$1,557 | -$2,200 | -$2,830 |
| $395 (+12%) โ target | -$448 | -$977 | -$1,575 | -$2,080 |
| $405 (+15%) | +$338 | -$159 | -$693 | -$1,069 |
| $423 (+20%) | +$1,786 | +$1,350 | +$928 | +$692 |
Uses IDCC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.