Target Price Playground
IDCC
$352.27
๐ก
IDCC IV: 54.6% โ NORMAL
(-10.2% vs 30d avg of 60.8%)
IV is near its 30-day average โ no strong edge either way.
Forward Projection
If price hits $395 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $352.27 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If IDCC hits $395 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$4,273 (12.1%) on $35,227 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if IDCC hits $395 by Jun 19
+$4,273
+12.1% on $35,227 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$35,227
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$352.27
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
57%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| IDCC Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $282 (-20%) | -$7,045 | -$7,045 | -$7,045 |
| $299 (-15%) | -$5,284 | -$5,284 | -$5,284 |
| $317 (-10%) | -$3,523 | -$3,523 | -$3,523 |
| $335 (-5%) | -$1,761 | -$1,761 | -$1,761 |
| $345 (-2%) | -$705 | -$705 | -$705 |
| $352 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $359 (+2%) | +$705 | +$705 | +$705 |
| $370 (+5%) | +$1,761 | +$1,761 | +$1,761 |
| $388 (+10%) | +$3,523 | +$3,523 | +$3,523 |
| $395 (+12%) โ target | +$4,273 | +$4,273 | +$4,273 |
| $405 (+15%) | +$5,284 | +$5,284 | +$5,284 |
| $423 (+20%) | +$7,045 | +$7,045 | +$7,045 |
Uses IDCC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.