Target Price Playground
INTC
$62.38
๐ข
INTC IV: 61.8% โ LOW
(-23.7% vs 30d avg of 81.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $55 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $62 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.31 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $57 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.96 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $55 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$265 (113.0%) on $235 risked, vs $-738 (-11.8%) for 100 shares on $6,238. Options give 9.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $55. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $55 by Jun 19
+$265
+113.0% on $235 risked
Max Profit
+$265
If the stock โค $57 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$235
Net debit
Break-even
$59.65
-4.37% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
67%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-11.51 / -0.38 / 1.05
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50 (-20%) | +$148 | +$166 | +$201 | +$265 |
| $53 (-15%) | +$112 | +$125 | +$154 | +$265 |
| $55 (-12%) โ target | +$88 | +$97 | +$117 | +$265 |
| $56 (-10%) | +$75 | +$80 | +$95 | +$265 |
| $59 (-5%) | +$37 | +$34 | +$31 | +$39 |
| $61 (-2%) | +$14 | +$7 | -$7 | -$148 |
| $62 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$11 | -$31 | -$235 |
| $64 (+2%) | -$14 | -$28 | -$55 | -$235 |
| $66 (+5%) | -$35 | -$52 | -$87 | -$235 |
| $69 (+10%) | -$67 | -$90 | -$132 | -$235 |
| $72 (+15%) | -$95 | -$121 | -$167 | -$235 |
| $75 (+20%) | -$120 | -$148 | -$191 | -$235 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.