Target Price Playground
INTC
$62.38
๐ข
INTC IV: 61.8% โ LOW
(-23.7% vs 30d avg of 81.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $70 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $62 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.2 ยท ฮ 0.58
SHORT CALL ยท $67 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.17 ยท ฮ 0.46
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $70 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$297 (145.8%) on $203 risked, vs +$762 (12.2%) for 100 shares on $6,238. Options give 12.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $70. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $70 by Jun 19
+$297
+145.8% on $203 risked
Max Profit
+$297
If the stock โฅ $67 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$203
Net debit
Break-even
$64.03
+2.65% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
66%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
11.24 / 0.01 / -0.14
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50 (-20%) | -$129 | -$148 | -$178 | -$203 |
| $53 (-15%) | -$101 | -$119 | -$152 | -$203 |
| $56 (-10%) | -$69 | -$83 | -$113 | -$203 |
| $59 (-5%) | -$35 | -$43 | -$63 | -$203 |
| $61 (-2%) | -$14 | -$18 | -$30 | -$203 |
| $62 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$0 | -$6 | -$165 |
| $64 (+2%) | +$14 | +$17 | +$18 | -$40 |
| $66 (+5%) | +$35 | +$42 | +$53 | +$147 |
| $69 (+10%) | +$69 | +$83 | +$109 | +$297 |
| $70 (+12%) โ target | +$83 | +$100 | +$132 | +$297 |
| $72 (+15%) | +$100 | +$120 | +$158 | +$297 |
| $75 (+20%) | +$129 | +$154 | +$198 | +$297 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.