Target Price Playground
INTC
$62.38
๐ข
INTC IV: 61.8% โ LOW
(-23.7% vs 30d avg of 81.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $67 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $62.38 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $67 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.17 ยท ฮ 0.46
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $67 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$979 (17.1%) on $5,721 risked, vs +$462 (7.4%) for 100 shares on $6,238. Options give 2.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $67. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $67 by Jun 19
+$979
+17.1% on $5,721 risked
Max Profit
+$979
If the stock โฅ $67 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$5,721
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$57.21
-8.28% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
79%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
53.73 / 5.36 / -10.62
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50 (-20%) | -$851 | -$791 | -$744 | -$731 |
| $53 (-15%) | -$605 | -$526 | -$451 | -$419 |
| $56 (-10%) | -$381 | -$282 | -$176 | -$107 |
| $59 (-5%) | -$179 | -$64 | +$72 | +$205 |
| $61 (-2%) | -$69 | +$55 | +$206 | +$392 |
| $62 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$128 | +$288 | +$517 |
| $64 (+2%) | +$66 | +$198 | +$365 | +$642 |
| $66 (+5%) | +$157 | +$293 | +$468 | +$829 |
| $67 (+7%) โ target | +$224 | +$363 | +$541 | +$979 |
| $69 (+10%) | +$292 | +$432 | +$611 | +$979 |
| $72 (+15%) | +$407 | +$546 | +$721 | +$979 |
| $75 (+20%) | +$503 | +$638 | +$801 | +$979 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.