Target Price Playground
INTC
$62.38
๐ข
INTC IV: 61.8% โ LOW
(-23.7% vs 30d avg of 81.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $59 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $62 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.47 ยท ฮ -0.41
SHORT PUT ยท $59 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.83 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $59 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$316 (119.5%) on $264 risked, vs $-338 (-5.4%) for 100 shares on $6,238. Options give 22.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $59. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $59 by Jun 19
+$316
+119.5% on $264 risked
Max Profit
+$310
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$230
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$66.22
+6.15% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
84%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-5.83 / 0.66 / 2.44
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50 (-20%) | +$44 | +$61 | +$82 | +$69 |
| $53 (-15%) | +$39 | +$60 | +$94 | +$123 |
| $56 (-10%) | +$30 | +$53 | +$93 | +$208 |
| $59 (-5%) โ target | +$18 | +$40 | +$81 | +$316 |
| $61 (-2%) | +$7 | +$27 | +$65 | +$203 |
| $62 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$19 | +$52 | +$145 |
| $64 (+2%) | -$7 | +$9 | +$39 | +$92 |
| $66 (+5%) | -$19 | -$6 | +$16 | +$23 |
| $69 (+10%) | -$40 | -$33 | -$25 | -$67 |
| $72 (+15%) | -$62 | -$61 | -$67 | -$133 |
| $75 (+20%) | -$83 | -$89 | -$106 | -$179 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.