Target Price Playground
INTC
$62.38
๐ข
INTC IV: 61.8% โ LOW
(-23.7% vs 30d avg of 81.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $70 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $62 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.2 ยท ฮ 0.58
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $70 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$80 (11.1%) on $720 risked, vs +$762 (12.2%) for 100 shares on $6,238. Options give 0.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $70. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $70 by Jun 19
+$80
+11.1% on $720 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$720
Premium paid
Break-even
$69.20
+10.94% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
66%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.51 / -5.35 / 10.47
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50 (-20%) | -$526 | -$605 | -$682 | -$720 |
| $53 (-15%) | -$431 | -$528 | -$637 | -$720 |
| $56 (-10%) | -$312 | -$424 | -$561 | -$720 |
| $59 (-5%) | -$168 | -$291 | -$448 | -$720 |
| $61 (-2%) | -$70 | -$197 | -$361 | -$720 |
| $62 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$129 | -$294 | -$682 |
| $64 (+2%) | +$74 | -$56 | -$222 | -$557 |
| $66 (+5%) | +$190 | +$61 | -$103 | -$370 |
| $69 (+10%) | +$401 | +$275 | +$122 | -$58 |
| $70 (+12%) โ target | +$500 | +$377 | +$230 | +$80 |
| $72 (+15%) | +$629 | +$510 | +$374 | +$254 |
| $75 (+20%) | +$873 | +$763 | +$646 | +$566 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.