Target Price Playground
INTC
$62.38
๐ข
INTC IV: 61.8% โ LOW
(-23.7% vs 30d avg of 81.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $55 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $62 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.31 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $55 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$69 (10.9%) on $631 risked, vs $-738 (-11.8%) for 100 shares on $6,238. Options give 0.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $55. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $55 by Jun 19
+$69
+10.9% on $631 risked
Max Profit
+$5,569
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$631
Premium paid
Break-even
$55.69
-10.73% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
67%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-42.49 / -4.59 / 10.47
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50 (-20%) | +$722 | +$660 | +$599 | +$579 |
| $53 (-15%) | +$505 | +$424 | +$332 | +$267 |
| $55 (-12%) โ target | +$380 | +$289 | +$179 | +$69 |
| $56 (-10%) | +$312 | +$216 | +$96 | -$45 |
| $59 (-5%) | +$144 | +$38 | -$102 | -$357 |
| $61 (-2%) | +$55 | -$56 | -$202 | -$544 |
| $62 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$112 | -$261 | -$631 |
| $64 (+2%) | -$51 | -$164 | -$314 | -$631 |
| $66 (+5%) | -$122 | -$234 | -$382 | -$631 |
| $69 (+10%) | -$223 | -$332 | -$469 | -$631 |
| $72 (+15%) | -$307 | -$409 | -$529 | -$631 |
| $75 (+20%) | -$375 | -$468 | -$569 | -$631 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.