Target Price Playground
INTC
$62.38
๐ข
INTC IV: 61.8% โ LOW
(-23.7% vs 30d avg of 81.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $70 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $62.38 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $70 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$762 (12.2%) on $6,238 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $70 by Jun 19
+$762
+12.2% on $6,238 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$6,238
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$62.38
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
66%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $50 (-20%) | -$1,248 | -$1,248 | -$1,248 |
| $53 (-15%) | -$936 | -$936 | -$936 |
| $56 (-10%) | -$624 | -$624 | -$624 |
| $59 (-5%) | -$312 | -$312 | -$312 |
| $61 (-2%) | -$125 | -$125 | -$125 |
| $62 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $64 (+2%) | +$125 | +$125 | +$125 |
| $66 (+5%) | +$312 | +$312 | +$312 |
| $69 (+10%) | +$624 | +$624 | +$624 |
| $70 (+12%) โ target | +$762 | +$762 | +$762 |
| $72 (+15%) | +$936 | +$936 | +$936 |
| $75 (+20%) | +$1,248 | +$1,248 | +$1,248 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.