Target Price Playground
INTC
$62.38
๐ข
INTC IV: 61.8% โ LOW
(-23.7% vs 30d avg of 81.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $69 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $62.38 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $59 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.83 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $69 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$179 (2.7%) on $6,721 risked, vs +$662 (10.6%) for 100 shares on $6,238. Options give 0.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $69. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $69 by Jun 19
+$179
+2.7% on $6,721 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$821
Put floors you at $59
Break-even
$67.21
+7.74% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
64.45 / -4.42 / 9.96
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50 (-20%) | -$613 | -$687 | -$769 | -$821 |
| $53 (-15%) | -$498 | -$587 | -$698 | -$821 |
| $56 (-10%) | -$357 | -$457 | -$589 | -$821 |
| $59 (-5%) | -$190 | -$297 | -$438 | -$795 |
| $61 (-2%) | -$79 | -$187 | -$328 | -$608 |
| $62 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$107 | -$247 | -$483 |
| $64 (+2%) | +$82 | -$24 | -$161 | -$358 |
| $66 (+5%) | +$211 | +$108 | -$21 | -$171 |
| $69 (+11%) โ target | +$470 | +$375 | +$265 | +$179 |
| $72 (+15%) | +$687 | +$600 | +$507 | +$453 |
| $75 (+20%) | +$946 | +$870 | +$796 | +$765 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.