Target Price Playground
INTC
$62.38
๐ข
INTC IV: 61.8% โ LOW
(-23.7% vs 30d avg of 81.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $72 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $62 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.2 ยท ฮ 0.58
LONG PUT ยท $62 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.31 ยท ฮ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTC hits $72 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-351 (-26.0%) on $1,351 risked, vs +$962 (15.4%) for 100 shares on $6,238. Options give 1.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTC is at $72. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTC hits $72 by Jun 19
$-351
-26.0% on $1,351 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$1,351
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$75.51
+21.05% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
57%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
15.02 / -9.94 / 20.95
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTC Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50 (-20%) | +$196 | +$55 | -$83 | -$141 |
| $53 (-15%) | +$73 | -$104 | -$305 | -$453 |
| $56 (-10%) | +$0 | -$208 | -$465 | -$765 |
| $59 (-5%) | -$24 | -$254 | -$550 | -$1,077 |
| $61 (-2%) | -$15 | -$253 | -$563 | -$1,264 |
| $62 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$241 | -$555 | -$1,313 |
| $64 (+2%) | +$23 | -$220 | -$536 | -$1,188 |
| $66 (+5%) | +$69 | -$174 | -$485 | -$1,001 |
| $69 (+10%) | +$178 | -$57 | -$347 | -$689 |
| $72 (+15%) โ target | +$336 | +$116 | -$137 | -$351 |
| $75 (+20%) | +$498 | +$295 | +$77 | -$65 |
Uses INTC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.