Target Price Playground
INTU
$350.94
๐ข
INTU IV: 53.0% โ LOW
(-34.4% vs 30d avg of 80.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $310 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $350 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $35.74 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $325 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $18.25 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTU hits $310 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$751 (42.9%) on $1,749 risked, vs $-4,094 (-11.7%) for 100 shares on $35,094. Options give 3.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTU is at $310. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTU hits $310 by Jun 19
+$751
+42.9% on $1,749 risked
Max Profit
+$751
If the stock โค $325 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,749
Net debit
Break-even
$332.51
-5.25% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
61%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-12.16 / -6.93 / 5.48
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTU Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $281 (-20%) | +$262 | +$368 | +$546 | +$751 |
| $298 (-15%) | +$64 | +$151 | +$323 | +$751 |
| $310 (-12%) โ target | -$80 | -$17 | +$120 | +$751 |
| $316 (-10%) | -$155 | -$106 | +$5 | +$751 |
| $333 (-5%) | -$381 | -$380 | -$370 | -$88 |
| $344 (-2%) | -$516 | -$544 | -$599 | -$1,141 |
| $351 (0%) โ spot | -$603 | -$651 | -$745 | -$1,749 |
| $358 (+2%) | -$688 | -$753 | -$884 | -$1,749 |
| $368 (+5%) | -$810 | -$899 | -$1,072 | -$1,749 |
| $386 (+10%) | -$995 | -$1,112 | -$1,325 | -$1,749 |
| $404 (+15%) | -$1,155 | -$1,286 | -$1,500 | -$1,749 |
| $421 (+20%) | -$1,289 | -$1,422 | -$1,612 | -$1,749 |
Uses INTU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.