Target Price Playground
INTU
$350.94
๐ข
INTU IV: 53.0% โ LOW
(-34.4% vs 30d avg of 80.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $395 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $350 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $37.8 ยท ฮ 0.57
SHORT CALL ยท $380 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $24.0 ยท ฮ 0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTU hits $395 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$1,620 (117.4%) on $1,380 risked, vs +$4,406 (12.6%) for 100 shares on $35,094. Options give 9.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTU is at $395. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTU hits $395 by Jun 19
+$1,620
+117.4% on $1,380 risked
Max Profit
+$1,620
If the stock โฅ $380 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,380
Net debit
Break-even
$363.80
+3.66% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
58%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
13.18 / -1.29 / -2.91
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTU Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $281 (-20%) | -$1,051 | -$1,164 | -$1,309 | -$1,380 |
| $298 (-15%) | -$878 | -$998 | -$1,193 | -$1,380 |
| $316 (-10%) | -$668 | -$775 | -$982 | -$1,380 |
| $333 (-5%) | -$433 | -$505 | -$667 | -$1,380 |
| $344 (-2%) | -$284 | -$328 | -$438 | -$1,380 |
| $351 (0%) โ spot | -$183 | -$206 | -$274 | -$1,286 |
| $358 (+2%) | -$82 | -$84 | -$106 | -$584 |
| $368 (+5%) | +$67 | +$99 | +$149 | +$469 |
| $386 (+10%) | +$308 | +$391 | +$549 | +$1,620 |
| $395 (+13%) โ target | +$424 | +$530 | +$732 | +$1,620 |
| $404 (+15%) | +$530 | +$655 | +$888 | +$1,620 |
| $421 (+20%) | +$729 | +$882 | +$1,148 | +$1,620 |
Uses INTU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.