Target Price Playground
INTU
$350.94
๐ข
INTU IV: 53.0% โ LOW
(-34.4% vs 30d avg of 80.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $380 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $350.94 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $380 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $24.0 ยท ฮ 0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTU hits $380 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$5,306 (16.2%) on $32,694 risked, vs +$2,906 (8.3%) for 100 shares on $35,094. Options give 2.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTU is at $380. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTU hits $380 by Jun 19
+$5,306
+16.2% on $32,694 risked
Max Profit
+$5,306
If the stock โฅ $380 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$32,694
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$326.94
-6.84% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
72%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.54 / 27.3 / -61.61
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTU Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $281 (-20%) | -$4,957 | -$4,761 | -$4,637 | -$4,619 |
| $298 (-15%) | -$3,462 | -$3,166 | -$2,928 | -$2,864 |
| $316 (-10%) | -$2,086 | -$1,682 | -$1,290 | -$1,109 |
| $333 (-5%) | -$847 | -$341 | +$222 | +$645 |
| $344 (-2%) | -$174 | +$385 | +$1,044 | +$1,698 |
| $351 (0%) โ spot | +$245 | +$834 | +$1,550 | +$2,400 |
| $358 (+2%) | +$639 | +$1,255 | +$2,019 | +$3,102 |
| $368 (+5%) | +$1,186 | +$1,831 | +$2,650 | +$4,155 |
| $380 (+8%) โ target | +$1,724 | +$2,388 | +$3,238 | +$5,306 |
| $386 (+10%) | +$1,981 | +$2,650 | +$3,504 | +$5,306 |
| $404 (+15%) | +$2,640 | +$3,303 | +$4,126 | +$5,306 |
| $421 (+20%) | +$3,176 | +$3,808 | +$4,552 | +$5,306 |
Uses INTU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.