Target Price Playground
INTU
$350.94
๐ข
INTU IV: 53.0% โ LOW
(-34.4% vs 30d avg of 80.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $335 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $350 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $43.6 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $335 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $22.44 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTU hits $335 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$885 (41.8%) on $2,116 risked, vs $-1,594 (-4.5%) for 100 shares on $35,094. Options give 9.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTU is at $335. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTU hits $335 by Jun 19
+$885
+41.8% on $2,116 risked
Max Profit
+$877
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$1,974
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$352.64
+0.48% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
84%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-6.45 / -0.61 / 13.65
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTU Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $281 (-20%) | -$609 | -$543 | -$483 | -$595 |
| $298 (-15%) | -$628 | -$534 | -$401 | -$389 |
| $316 (-10%) | -$676 | -$567 | -$381 | -$11 |
| $335 (-5%) โ target | -$762 | -$657 | -$460 | +$651 |
| $344 (-2%) | -$812 | -$715 | -$535 | +$165 |
| $351 (0%) โ spot | -$856 | -$768 | -$607 | -$173 |
| $358 (+2%) | -$902 | -$825 | -$691 | -$473 |
| $368 (+5%) | -$975 | -$918 | -$829 | -$856 |
| $386 (+10%) | -$1,104 | -$1,084 | -$1,076 | -$1,334 |
| $404 (+15%) | -$1,235 | -$1,252 | -$1,316 | -$1,651 |
| $421 (+20%) | -$1,363 | -$1,410 | -$1,525 | -$1,851 |
Uses INTU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.