Target Price Playground
INTU
$350.94
๐ข
INTU IV: 52.2% โ LOW
(-35.4% vs 30d avg of 80.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $395 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $350 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $37.8 ยท ฮ 0.57
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTU hits $395 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$720 (19.0%) on $3,780 risked, vs +$4,406 (12.6%) for 100 shares on $35,094. Options give 1.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTU is at $395. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTU hits $395 by Jun 19
+$720
+19.0% on $3,780 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$3,780
Premium paid
Break-even
$387.80
+10.5% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
58%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.64 / -28.59 / 58.7
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTU Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $281 (-20%) | -$3,113 | -$3,422 | -$3,691 | -$3,780 |
| $298 (-15%) | -$2,679 | -$3,096 | -$3,529 | -$3,780 |
| $316 (-10%) | -$2,091 | -$2,602 | -$3,201 | -$3,780 |
| $333 (-5%) | -$1,340 | -$1,919 | -$2,644 | -$3,780 |
| $344 (-2%) | -$812 | -$1,415 | -$2,184 | -$3,780 |
| $351 (0%) โ spot | -$428 | -$1,041 | -$1,824 | -$3,686 |
| $358 (+2%) | -$20 | -$636 | -$1,422 | -$2,984 |
| $368 (+5%) | +$636 | +$23 | -$746 | -$1,931 |
| $386 (+10%) | +$1,836 | +$1,250 | +$554 | -$177 |
| $395 (+13%) โ target | +$2,496 | +$1,933 | +$1,289 | +$720 |
| $404 (+15%) | +$3,154 | +$2,617 | +$2,026 | +$1,578 |
| $421 (+20%) | +$4,572 | +$4,093 | +$3,615 | +$3,333 |
Uses INTU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.