Target Price Playground
INTU
$350.94
๐ข
INTU IV: 52.2% โ LOW
(-35.4% vs 30d avg of 80.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $310 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $350 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $35.74 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTU hits $310 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$426 (11.9%) on $3,574 risked, vs $-4,094 (-11.7%) for 100 shares on $35,094. Options give 1.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTU is at $310. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTU hits $310 by Jun 19
+$426
+11.9% on $3,574 risked
Max Profit
+$31,426
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$3,574
Premium paid
Break-even
$314.26
-10.45% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
61%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-43.44 / -26.43 / 58.73
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTU Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $281 (-20%) | +$3,730 | +$3,515 | +$3,341 | +$3,351 |
| $298 (-15%) | +$2,409 | +$2,087 | +$1,748 | +$1,596 |
| $310 (-12%) โ target | +$1,613 | +$1,226 | +$774 | +$426 |
| $316 (-10%) | +$1,242 | +$826 | +$321 | -$159 |
| $333 (-5%) | +$239 | -$245 | -$876 | -$1,913 |
| $344 (-2%) | -$285 | -$794 | -$1,469 | -$2,966 |
| $351 (0%) โ spot | -$604 | -$1,122 | -$1,811 | -$3,574 |
| $358 (+2%) | -$898 | -$1,420 | -$2,111 | -$3,574 |
| $368 (+5%) | -$1,295 | -$1,814 | -$2,488 | -$3,574 |
| $386 (+10%) | -$1,849 | -$2,340 | -$2,942 | -$3,574 |
| $404 (+15%) | -$2,286 | -$2,729 | -$3,225 | -$3,574 |
| $421 (+20%) | -$2,623 | -$3,007 | -$3,391 | -$3,574 |
Uses INTU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.