Target Price Playground
INTU
$350.94
๐ข
INTU IV: 53.0% โ LOW
(-34.4% vs 30d avg of 80.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $395 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $350.94 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTU hits $395 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$4,406 (12.6%) on $35,094 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTU hits $395 by Jun 19
+$4,406
+12.6% on $35,094 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$35,094
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$350.94
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
58%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTU Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $281 (-20%) | -$7,019 | -$7,019 | -$7,019 |
| $298 (-15%) | -$5,264 | -$5,264 | -$5,264 |
| $316 (-10%) | -$3,509 | -$3,509 | -$3,509 |
| $333 (-5%) | -$1,755 | -$1,755 | -$1,755 |
| $344 (-2%) | -$702 | -$702 | -$702 |
| $351 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $358 (+2%) | +$702 | +$702 | +$702 |
| $368 (+5%) | +$1,755 | +$1,755 | +$1,755 |
| $386 (+10%) | +$3,509 | +$3,509 | +$3,509 |
| $395 (+13%) โ target | +$4,406 | +$4,406 | +$4,406 |
| $404 (+15%) | +$5,264 | +$5,264 | +$5,264 |
| $421 (+20%) | +$7,019 | +$7,019 | +$7,019 |
Uses INTU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.