Target Price Playground
INTU
$350.94
๐ข
INTU IV: 52.2% โ LOW
(-35.4% vs 30d avg of 80.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $385 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $350.94 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $335 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $22.44 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTU hits $385 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$1,162 (3.1%) on $37,338 risked, vs +$3,406 (9.7%) for 100 shares on $35,094. Options give 0.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTU is at $385. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTU hits $385 by Jun 19
+$1,162
+3.1% on $37,338 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$3,838
Put floors you at $335
Break-even
$373.38
+6.4% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
67%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
63.85 / -20.46 / 56.33
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTU Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $281 (-20%) | -$3,192 | -$3,472 | -$3,750 | -$3,838 |
| $298 (-15%) | -$2,645 | -$3,024 | -$3,471 | -$3,838 |
| $316 (-10%) | -$1,930 | -$2,383 | -$2,968 | -$3,838 |
| $333 (-5%) | -$1,045 | -$1,538 | -$2,194 | -$3,838 |
| $344 (-2%) | -$436 | -$936 | -$1,597 | -$2,946 |
| $351 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$498 | -$1,147 | -$2,244 |
| $358 (+2%) | +$460 | -$31 | -$659 | -$1,542 |
| $368 (+5%) | +$1,190 | +$718 | +$137 | -$489 |
| $385 (+10%) โ target | +$2,424 | +$1,995 | +$1,512 | +$1,162 |
| $404 (+15%) | +$3,922 | +$3,556 | +$3,191 | +$3,020 |
| $421 (+20%) | +$5,424 | +$5,121 | +$4,858 | +$4,775 |
Uses INTU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.