Target Price Playground
INTU
$350.94
๐ข
INTU IV: 53.0% โ LOW
(-34.4% vs 30d avg of 80.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $405 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $350 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $37.8 ยท ฮ 0.57
LONG PUT ยท $350 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $35.74 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If INTU hits $405 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-1,854 (-25.2%) on $7,354 risked, vs +$5,406 (15.4%) for 100 shares on $35,094. Options give 1.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if INTU is at $405. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if INTU hits $405 by Jun 19
$-1,854
-25.2% on $7,354 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$7,354
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$423.54
+20.69% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
50%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
13.2 / -55.02 / 117.43
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| INTU Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $281 (-20%) | +$617 | +$93 | -$350 | -$429 |
| $298 (-15%) | -$271 | -$1,009 | -$1,781 | -$2,184 |
| $316 (-10%) | -$849 | -$1,776 | -$2,879 | -$3,939 |
| $333 (-5%) | -$1,101 | -$2,164 | -$3,520 | -$5,693 |
| $344 (-2%) | -$1,097 | -$2,209 | -$3,654 | -$6,746 |
| $351 (0%) โ spot | -$1,031 | -$2,163 | -$3,635 | -$7,260 |
| $358 (+2%) | -$917 | -$2,057 | -$3,534 | -$6,558 |
| $368 (+5%) | -$659 | -$1,791 | -$3,233 | -$5,505 |
| $386 (+10%) | -$13 | -$1,090 | -$2,387 | -$3,751 |
| $405 (+15%) โ target | +$949 | -$23 | -$1,092 | -$1,854 |
| $421 (+20%) | +$1,949 | +$1,086 | +$223 | -$241 |
Uses INTU's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.