Target Price Playground
IONQ
$28.79
๐ข
IONQ IV: 80.3% โ LOW
(-27.9% vs 30d avg of 111.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $25 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $29 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.23 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $26 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.7 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If IONQ hits $25 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$147 (95.6%) on $153 risked, vs $-379 (-13.2%) for 100 shares on $2,879. Options give 7.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if IONQ is at $25. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if IONQ hits $25 by Jun 19
+$147
+95.6% on $153 risked
Max Profit
+$147
If the stock โค $26 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$153
Net debit
Break-even
$27.47
-4.6% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
72%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-11.04 / -0.24 / 0.45
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| IONQ Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $23 (-20%) | +$67 | +$74 | +$91 | +$147 |
| $24 (-15%) | +$50 | +$55 | +$66 | +$147 |
| $25 (-13%) โ target | +$44 | +$47 | +$57 | +$147 |
| $26 (-10%) | +$33 | +$34 | +$39 | +$147 |
| $27 (-5%) | +$17 | +$14 | +$11 | +$12 |
| $28 (-2%) | +$7 | +$2 | -$6 | -$74 |
| $29 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$6 | -$17 | -$132 |
| $29 (+2%) | -$6 | -$14 | -$28 | -$153 |
| $30 (+5%) | -$15 | -$25 | -$43 | -$153 |
| $32 (+10%) | -$30 | -$42 | -$66 | -$153 |
| $33 (+15%) | -$43 | -$58 | -$85 | -$153 |
| $35 (+20%) | -$56 | -$72 | -$101 | -$153 |
Uses IONQ's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.