Target Price Playground
IONQ
$28.79
๐ข
IONQ IV: 80.3% โ LOW
(-27.9% vs 30d avg of 111.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $32 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $29 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.26 ยท ฮ 0.57
SHORT CALL ยท $31 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.48 ยท ฮ 0.5
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If IONQ hits $32 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$122 (157.1%) on $78 risked, vs +$321 (11.1%) for 100 shares on $2,879. Options give 14.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if IONQ is at $32. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if IONQ hits $32 by Jun 19
+$122
+157.1% on $78 risked
Max Profit
+$122
If the stock โฅ $31 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$78
Net debit
Break-even
$29.78
+3.43% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
76%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
7.11 / 0.04 / -0.09
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| IONQ Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $23 (-20%) | -$40 | -$46 | -$59 | -$78 |
| $24 (-15%) | -$31 | -$36 | -$48 | -$78 |
| $26 (-10%) | -$21 | -$24 | -$34 | -$78 |
| $27 (-5%) | -$10 | -$12 | -$18 | -$78 |
| $28 (-2%) | -$4 | -$5 | -$8 | -$78 |
| $29 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$0 | -$0 | -$78 |
| $29 (+2%) | +$4 | +$5 | +$7 | -$41 |
| $30 (+5%) | +$10 | +$13 | +$17 | +$45 |
| $32 (+10%) | +$20 | +$25 | +$34 | +$122 |
| $32 (+11%) โ target | +$22 | +$28 | +$38 | +$122 |
| $33 (+15%) | +$29 | +$36 | +$49 | +$122 |
| $35 (+20%) | +$38 | +$47 | +$63 | +$122 |
Uses IONQ's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.