Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
IONQ
$28.79
๐ŸŸข
IONQ IV: 80.3% โ€” LOW (-27.9% vs 30d avg of 111.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $30 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

SHORT PUT ยท $26 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.7 ยท ฮ” -0.31
P&L at Expiry Now $29 Target $30 $20 $29 $37
Stock (100 sh) Cash-Secured Put Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If IONQ hits $30 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$270 (11.6%) on $-270 credit (max loss $2,330), vs +$121 (4.2%) for 100 shares on $2,879. Options give 2.8ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if IONQ is at $30. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if IONQ hits $30 by Jun 19
+$270
+11.6% on $2,330 max loss
Max Profit
+$270
If the stock โ‰ฅ $26 at expiry
Max Loss
โˆ’$2,330
If stock โ†’ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$23.30
-19.06% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
91%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
31.48 / 2.69 / -4.38
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

IONQ Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$23 (-20%) -$244 -$188 -$118 -$27
$24 (-15%) -$170 -$109 -$29 +$117
$26 (-10%) -$105 -$41 +$44 +$261
$27 (-5%) -$49 +$17 +$103 +$270
$28 (-2%) -$19 +$47 +$132 +$270
$29 (0%) โ† spot +$0 +$66 +$149 +$270
$29 (+2%) +$18 +$83 +$164 +$270
$30 (+4%) โ† target +$36 +$100 +$179 +$270
$32 (+10%) +$78 +$139 +$210 +$270
$33 (+15%) +$109 +$166 +$228 +$270
$35 (+20%) +$135 +$187 +$242 +$270
Uses IONQ's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.