Target Price Playground
IONQ
$28.79
๐ข
IONQ IV: 80.3% โ LOW
(-27.9% vs 30d avg of 111.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $27 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $29 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.97 ยท ฮ -0.41
SHORT PUT ยท $27 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.17 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If IONQ hits $27 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$193 (107.1%) on $180 risked, vs $-179 (-6.2%) for 100 shares on $2,879. Options give 17.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if IONQ is at $27. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if IONQ hits $27 by Jun 19
+$193
+107.1% on $180 risked
Max Profit
+$189
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$123
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$31.41
+9.1% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
87%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-5.68 / 0.4 / 1.13
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| IONQ Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $23 (-20%) | +$23 | +$36 | +$55 | +$67 |
| $24 (-15%) | +$20 | +$33 | +$56 | +$102 |
| $26 (-10%) | +$14 | +$28 | +$53 | +$149 |
| $27 (-6%) โ target | +$10 | +$23 | +$48 | +$193 |
| $27 (-5%) | +$8 | +$21 | +$45 | +$174 |
| $28 (-2%) | +$3 | +$15 | +$38 | +$129 |
| $29 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$12 | +$33 | +$102 |
| $29 (+2%) | -$3 | +$7 | +$27 | +$76 |
| $30 (+5%) | -$8 | +$1 | +$17 | +$41 |
| $32 (+10%) | -$18 | -$11 | -$0 | -$8 |
| $33 (+15%) | -$27 | -$23 | -$19 | -$48 |
| $35 (+20%) | -$37 | -$36 | -$38 | -$79 |
Uses IONQ's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.