Target Price Playground
IONQ
$28.79
๐ข
IONQ IV: 80.3% โ LOW
(-27.9% vs 30d avg of 111.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $32 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $29 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.26 ยท ฮ 0.57
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If IONQ hits $32 by Jun 19: the long call returns $-126 (-29.6%) on $426 risked, vs +$321 (11.1%) for 100 shares on $2,879. Options give 2.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if IONQ is at $32. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if IONQ hits $32 by Jun 19
$-126
-29.6% on $426 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$426
Premium paid
Break-even
$33.26
+15.52% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
76%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
57.48 / -3.28 / 4.83
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| IONQ Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $23 (-20%) | -$265 | -$322 | -$383 | -$426 |
| $24 (-15%) | -$212 | -$276 | -$352 | -$426 |
| $26 (-10%) | -$150 | -$221 | -$309 | -$426 |
| $27 (-5%) | -$79 | -$155 | -$252 | -$426 |
| $28 (-2%) | -$33 | -$111 | -$212 | -$426 |
| $29 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$79 | -$182 | -$426 |
| $29 (+2%) | +$34 | -$46 | -$150 | -$389 |
| $30 (+5%) | +$86 | +$6 | -$99 | -$303 |
| $32 (+10%) | +$180 | +$99 | -$3 | -$159 |
| $32 (+11%) โ target | +$202 | +$122 | +$20 | -$126 |
| $33 (+15%) | +$280 | +$200 | +$103 | -$15 |
| $35 (+20%) | +$385 | +$308 | +$217 | +$129 |
Uses IONQ's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.