Target Price Playground
IONQ
$28.79
๐ข
IONQ IV: 80.3% โ LOW
(-27.9% vs 30d avg of 111.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $32 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $28.79 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $27 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.17 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If IONQ hits $32 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$4 (0.1%) on $3,196 risked, vs +$321 (11.1%) for 100 shares on $2,879.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if IONQ is at $32. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if IONQ hits $32 by Jun 19
+$4
+0.1% on $3,196 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$496
Put floors you at $27
Break-even
$31.96
+11.01% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
76%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
64.83 / -2.8 / 4.58
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| IONQ Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $23 (-20%) | -$309 | -$363 | -$429 | -$496 |
| $24 (-15%) | -$245 | -$305 | -$382 | -$496 |
| $26 (-10%) | -$171 | -$236 | -$322 | -$496 |
| $27 (-5%) | -$90 | -$157 | -$246 | -$461 |
| $28 (-2%) | -$37 | -$105 | -$195 | -$375 |
| $29 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$68 | -$157 | -$317 |
| $29 (+2%) | +$38 | -$30 | -$118 | -$259 |
| $30 (+5%) | +$97 | +$29 | -$56 | -$173 |
| $32 (+10%) | +$200 | +$135 | +$55 | -$29 |
| $32 (+11%) โ target | +$225 | +$160 | +$82 | +$4 |
| $33 (+15%) | +$309 | +$247 | +$174 | +$115 |
| $35 (+20%) | +$423 | +$365 | +$301 | +$259 |
Uses IONQ's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.