Target Price Playground
IONQ
$28.79
๐ข
IONQ IV: 80.3% โ LOW
(-27.9% vs 30d avg of 111.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $33 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $29 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.26 ยท ฮ 0.57
LONG PUT ยท $29 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.23 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If IONQ hits $33 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-449 (-52.9%) on $849 risked, vs +$421 (14.6%) for 100 shares on $2,879. Options give 3.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if IONQ is at $33. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if IONQ hits $33 by Jun 19
$-449
-52.9% on $849 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$849
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$20.51
-28.76% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
69%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
14.96 / -6.21 / 9.67
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| IONQ Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $23 (-20%) | +$45 | -$59 | -$175 | -$252 |
| $24 (-15%) | +$8 | -$113 | -$257 | -$396 |
| $26 (-10%) | -$11 | -$146 | -$314 | -$540 |
| $27 (-5%) | -$14 | -$158 | -$345 | -$684 |
| $28 (-2%) | -$7 | -$156 | -$350 | -$770 |
| $29 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$151 | -$348 | -$828 |
| $29 (+2%) | +$10 | -$143 | -$342 | -$812 |
| $30 (+5%) | +$29 | -$125 | -$325 | -$726 |
| $32 (+10%) | +$72 | -$82 | -$278 | -$582 |
| $33 (+15%) โ target | +$123 | -$29 | -$217 | -$449 |
| $35 (+20%) | +$195 | +$48 | -$126 | -$294 |
Uses IONQ's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.