Target Price Playground
IOT
$25.85
๐ข
IOT IV: 59.3% โ LOW
(-44.6% vs 30d avg of 107.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $29 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $26 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.83 ยท ฮ 0.53
SHORT CALL ยท $28 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.07 ยท ฮ 0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If IOT hits $29 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$124 (163.2%) on $76 risked, vs +$315 (12.2%) for 100 shares on $2,585. Options give 13.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if IOT is at $29. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if IOT hits $29 by Jun 19
+$124
+163.2% on $76 risked
Max Profit
+$124
If the stock โฅ $28 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$76
Net debit
Break-even
$26.76
+3.52% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
67%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
10.0 / -0.03 / -0.19
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| IOT Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $21 (-20%) | -$47 | -$54 | -$66 | -$76 |
| $22 (-15%) | -$36 | -$43 | -$56 | -$76 |
| $23 (-10%) | -$24 | -$30 | -$42 | -$76 |
| $25 (-5%) | -$11 | -$14 | -$23 | -$76 |
| $25 (-2%) | -$3 | -$5 | -$11 | -$76 |
| $26 (0%) โ spot | +$2 | +$2 | -$2 | -$76 |
| $26 (+2%) | +$8 | +$8 | +$8 | -$39 |
| $27 (+5%) | +$16 | +$18 | +$21 | +$38 |
| $28 (+10%) | +$29 | +$34 | +$43 | +$124 |
| $29 (+12%) โ target | +$34 | +$40 | +$52 | +$124 |
| $30 (+15%) | +$41 | +$48 | +$63 | +$124 |
| $31 (+20%) | +$52 | +$62 | +$79 | +$124 |
Uses IOT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.