Target Price Playground
IOT
$25.85
๐ข
IOT IV: 66.4% โ LOW
(-38.0% vs 30d avg of 107.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $29 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $25.85 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If IOT hits $29 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$315 (12.2%) on $2,585 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if IOT hits $29 by Jun 19
+$315
+12.2% on $2,585 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$2,585
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$25.85
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
67%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| IOT Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $21 (-20%) | -$517 | -$517 | -$517 |
| $22 (-15%) | -$388 | -$388 | -$388 |
| $23 (-10%) | -$258 | -$258 | -$258 |
| $25 (-5%) | -$129 | -$129 | -$129 |
| $25 (-2%) | -$52 | -$52 | -$52 |
| $26 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $26 (+2%) | +$52 | +$52 | +$52 |
| $27 (+5%) | +$129 | +$129 | +$129 |
| $28 (+10%) | +$259 | +$259 | +$259 |
| $29 (+12%) โ target | +$315 | +$315 | +$315 |
| $30 (+15%) | +$388 | +$388 | +$388 |
| $31 (+20%) | +$517 | +$517 | +$517 |
Uses IOT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.