Target Price Playground
IPGP
$127.32
๐ข
IPGP IV: 63.7% โ LOW
(-43.7% vs 30d avg of 113.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $145 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $125 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $15.44 ยท ฮ 0.59
SHORT CALL ยท $140 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.47 ยท ฮ 0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If IPGP hits $145 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$902 (150.9%) on $598 risked, vs +$1,768 (13.9%) for 100 shares on $12,732. Options give 10.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if IPGP is at $145. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if IPGP hits $145 by Jun 19
+$902
+150.9% on $598 risked
Max Profit
+$902
If the stock โฅ $140 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$598
Net debit
Break-even
$130.98
+2.87% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
61%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
16.36 / -0.07 / -0.24
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| IPGP Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $102 (-20%) | -$381 | -$437 | -$525 | -$597 |
| $108 (-15%) | -$298 | -$351 | -$450 | -$597 |
| $115 (-10%) | -$204 | -$247 | -$339 | -$597 |
| $121 (-5%) | -$103 | -$129 | -$194 | -$597 |
| $125 (-2%) | -$41 | -$55 | -$95 | -$597 |
| $127 (0%) โ spot | +$1 | -$4 | -$26 | -$365 |
| $130 (+2%) | +$42 | +$47 | +$44 | -$110 |
| $134 (+5%) | +$104 | +$122 | +$149 | +$272 |
| $140 (+10%) | +$204 | +$243 | +$316 | +$903 |
| $145 (+14%) โ target | +$278 | +$332 | +$433 | +$903 |
| $146 (+15%) | +$298 | +$356 | +$464 | +$903 |
| $153 (+20%) | +$384 | +$457 | +$586 | +$903 |
Uses IPGP's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.