Target Price Playground
IPGP
$127.32
๐ข
IPGP IV: 63.2% โ LOW
(-44.1% vs 30d avg of 113.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $110 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $125 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $12.09 ยท ฮ -0.41
SHORT PUT ยท $115 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.57 ยท ฮ -0.3
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If IPGP hits $110 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$547 (120.9%) on $453 risked, vs $-1,732 (-13.6%) for 100 shares on $12,732. Options give 8.9ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if IPGP is at $110. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if IPGP hits $110 by Jun 19
+$547
+120.9% on $453 risked
Max Profit
+$547
If the stock โค $115 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$453
Net debit
Break-even
$120.47
-5.38% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
62%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-11.22 / -0.89 / 2.35
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| IPGP Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $102 (-20%) | +$300 | +$335 | +$403 | +$548 |
| $108 (-15%) | +$227 | +$251 | +$303 | +$548 |
| $110 (-14%) โ target | +$206 | +$225 | +$270 | +$548 |
| $115 (-10%) | +$151 | +$159 | +$181 | +$548 |
| $121 (-5%) | +$74 | +$65 | +$51 | -$47 |
| $125 (-2%) | +$30 | +$11 | -$24 | -$429 |
| $127 (0%) โ spot | +$1 | -$24 | -$73 | -$452 |
| $130 (+2%) | -$28 | -$58 | -$118 | -$452 |
| $134 (+5%) | -$68 | -$106 | -$180 | -$452 |
| $140 (+10%) | -$130 | -$178 | -$266 | -$452 |
| $146 (+15%) | -$186 | -$240 | -$330 | -$452 |
| $153 (+20%) | -$234 | -$290 | -$375 | -$452 |
Uses IPGP's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.